WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to accumulate 16.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
- Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his team’s running game this season (73.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (62.9%).
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
- Christian McCaffrey has averaged 62.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (82nd percentile).
Cons
- The Carolina Panthers will be rolling with backup QB PJ Walker this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Panthers are a big 11-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.23 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
