Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Devin Duvernay from EV Insight

Devin DuvernayReceiving Yards

Right now, Devin Duvernay’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-131/-104).

The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-131) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).

Pros

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Devin Duvernay has been a more important option in his offense’s passing offense this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (8.0%).
Devin Duvernay has accrued far more air yards this season (55.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Devin Duvernay has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).

Cons

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards