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Chris Meaney
Darrell HendersonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Rams vs. Panthers
Right now, Darrell Henderson’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (+105/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 56.5 (-135) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Rams are a giant 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to garner 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
- THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be a much bigger part of his team’s run game this week (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.0% in games he has played).
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (142 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
- The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.74 seconds per snap.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
- Darrell Henderson has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
