Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. Patriots
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-115) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New England Patriots will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Bailey Zappe in this week’s game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects Jakobi Meyers to accrue 8.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among WRs.
- Jakobi Meyers has notched a whopping 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile among WRs.
- The New England Patriots offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.4 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Receiving Yards
57
Receiving Yards
