Week 3 NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets | NFL Picks Against the Spread | NFL Props | Survivor
Chris Meaney
Cameron BrateReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Steelers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (+114/-157).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-157) after it opened @ 23.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
- Cameron Brate has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (64.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (41.6%).
- THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to earn 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a giant 9.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
- Cameron Brate’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 58.1%.
- Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.20 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
- Cameron Brate has been among the worst tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year with their pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards
24
Receiving Yards
