College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Lamar JacksonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Giants vs. Ravens
Right now, Lamar Jackson’s passing yards prop is set at 212.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 212.5 (-110) after it opened @ 211.5 (-114).
Pros
- The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- The New York Giants safeties rank as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The New York Giants pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the slowest in football since the start of last season.
- The Baltimore Ravens have incorporated play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), tricking the defense into thinking it’s a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 33.4 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Projection
THE BLITZ
248
Passing Yards
248
Passing Yards
