Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-115/-119).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 232.5 (-119) after it opened @ 235.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Cons

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 32.1 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 206.0 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in football vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (65.1%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
221
Passing Yards