Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).

Pros

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 10.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been a more integral piece of his offense’s pass game this year (34.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.6%).
Mark Andrews has put up a colossal 97.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Cons

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Receiving Yards