Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Carson Wentz from EV Insight

Carson WentzPassing Yards

Right now, Carson Wentz’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 220.5 (-110) after it opened @ 226.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 64.0 plays per game.
Carson Wentz has passed for many more yards per game (267.0) this year than he did last year (201.0).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Washington Commanders offensive line has afforded their QB 2.75 seconds before the pass (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Carson Wentz to attempt 34.2 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Carson Wentz has been among the least effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a measly 6.36 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 19th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
210
Passing Yards