NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
- The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (70.0) to TEs this year.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus tight ends this year, giving up 9.03 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a giant 10-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
- The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
27
Receiving Yards
27
Receiving Yards
