Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zach WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Jets vs. Dolphins
Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 220.5 (-105) after it opened @ 216.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 69.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 9th-most yards in football (271.0 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
- The Miami Dolphins safeties grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Zach Wilson has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season, averaging 189.0 yards per game while grading out in the 20th percentile.
- Zach Wilson has been among the least accurate QBs in the league this year with a 53.2% Completion%, checking in at the 20th percentile.
- Zach Wilson has been among the worst per-play QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 6.30 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 12th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
219
Passing Yards
219
Passing Yards
