Week 5 Player Props: Passing Yards for Matthew Stafford from EV Insight

Matthew StaffordPassing Yards

Right now, Matthew Stafford’s passing yards prop is set at 256.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 256.5 (-133) after it opened @ 259.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 38.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Cons

The Rams are a 5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 5th-least yards in football (just 191.0 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 5.78 yards-per-target: the least in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
288
Passing Yards