Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Cowboys
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 93.5 (-110) after it opened @ 98.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to garner 12.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- The Rams are a 5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- Cooper Kupp’s receiving efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 8.76 yards-per-target compared to a 10.36 rate last year.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) versus wideouts this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (57%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.0%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
118
Receiving Yards
118
Receiving Yards
