NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 8.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 8.5 (-110) after it opened @ 7.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.98 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
- The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it’s a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
- The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 61.7 plays per game.
- The New York Giants O-line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
- The New York Giants O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
14
Receiving Yards
14
Receiving Yards
