2025 NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers Series Preview and Analysis
Alex Christenson
New York Jets 
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J.K. DobbinsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, J.K. Dobbins’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 45.5 (-130) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 67.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to garner 12.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 117.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
- The New England Patriots defensive tackles grade out as the 5th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
- The New England Patriots have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Rushing Yards
55
Rushing Yards