Week 3 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 63.5 (-145) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 13.7 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

Cons

The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 5th-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards