Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Damien HarrisRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Patriots vs. Ravens
Right now, Damien Harris’s rushing yards prop is set at 44.5 yards (-106/-129).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 44.5 (-129) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Damien Harris to earn 11.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
- Damien Harris has garnered 53.3% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
- The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Damien Harris has picked up 59.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (90th percentile).
- Damien Harris has improved when it comes to generating extra rushing yardage this season, accumulating 3.75 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.75 figure last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.6 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the least yards in the NFL (just 83 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
- The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends grade out as the 6th-best group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
- The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards
52
Rushing Yards
