Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Allen Lazard from EV Insight

Allen LazardReceiving Yards

Right now, Allen Lazard’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Allen Lazard has played on 76.3% of his team’s snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Allen Lazard has been among the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a stellar 9.54 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 8.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Cons

The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards