Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Eagles vs. Vikings
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 237.5 (-110) after it opened @ 235.5 (-115).
Pros
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.
- The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 6th-most yards in football (252.0 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-most in the league.
Cons
- The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.4 passes in this game, on average: the least of all QBs.
- Jalen Hurts has been among the worst passers in football since the start of last season, averaging 195.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
217
Passing Yards
217
Passing Yards
