Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 57.5 (-115) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).

Pros

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to notch 11.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Miles Sanders has generated 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (92nd percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to be a much smaller part of his offense’s running game this week (36.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (46.3% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards