Week 2 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 76.5 (-115) after it opened @ 76.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 96.6% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Ja’Marr Chase to earn 8.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.9%) versus WRs since the start of last season (57.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards