Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 250.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 250.5 (-120) after it opened @ 254.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 37.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.

Cons

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
Opposing teams have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 206.0 per game) against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed strong efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.99 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
268
Passing Yards