NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
James ConnerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Raiders vs. Cardinals
Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
- THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 12.7 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
- James Conner has been given 52.8% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
- James Conner has grinded out 51.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (83rd percentile).
- The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
Cons
- The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.16 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
56
Rushing Yards
56
Rushing Yards
