Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joe Burrow from EV Insight

Joe BurrowPassing Yards

Right now, Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop is set at 267.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 267.5 (-114) after it opened @ 264.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.2% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.22 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.

Cons

The Bengals are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest clip in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
262
Passing Yards