NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Darren WallerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Raiders vs. Cardinals
Right now, Darren Waller’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 52.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Darren Waller has run a route on 88.6% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among TEs.
- THE BLITZ projects Darren Waller to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
- The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.3%) to tight ends since the start of last season (64.3%).
- The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 6.85 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
