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The NFL season is in Week 3, and I will be helping each week identify the three best bets on BetMGM. We have a long 18-week NFL season ahead of us. As a friendly reminder, always be sure to shop around for the best possible prices. The easiest way to do so is by using our free FTN Prop Shop. Plug in the name of the player you are searching, and all their prop markets will come up. This article will not only identify three of the best bets each week but offer the best possible price on the market.
So, let’s dive into this week’s selections.
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Corey Davis should get back on track in Week 3
Over 3.5 receptions, -110
We begin with a line that, in my opinion, is the worst-priced line of the week. The Jets are again likely without Jamison Crowder (he’s doubtful), playing as road underdogs (by 10.5 points) in Denver. While Corey Davis had a poor Week 2, the Patriots do have a history of taking the best playmaker out of the game, and they accomplished that by holding Davis to just a 2-8-0 line on five targets. After seven targets in Week 1 and a line of 5-97-2, we should expect Week 1 Davis far more often than what he provided in Week 2. Bottom line, this number is a full reception too low, and, without juice baked into the line, that makes it a must play.
Derek Carr should keep on throwing
Over 31.5 passing attempts, -125
This one is simple. The Raiders have identified themselves as a pass-first offense, and with Josh Jacobs likely out a second consecutive game, there’s little reason to doubt anything changes. This line should be 35.5, with Derek Carr coming off 56 and 37 attempts in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively. He had no fewer than 34 attempts in five of his final six games of 2020 — the outlier was a game in which he was injured on the first drive.
Josh Allen will run on Washington
Over 36.5 rushing yards, -110
Lastly, we know about the Bills run game. Josh Allen has posted 100-plus carries in each of the previous two seasons, while leading the Bills in rushing in 2018. They don’t rely on their running backs, but rather, keeping the ball in the hands of their star quarterback. The Washington Football Team had no answer for Daniel Jones in the ground game last week, and against mobile QBs (Kyle Murray, Lamar Jackson, Daniel Jones, Russell Wilson, Jalen Hurts), all but Hurts ran for 50-plus yards since the start of last season. In Hurts’ case, he ran for 34 in one half. Allen should use his legs often in this one, and he’ll have plenty of space to utilize them.