Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (+100) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
Saquon Barkley has grinded out 76.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (97th percentile).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding 4.90 yards-per-carry.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards