Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Cardinals vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-130/+100).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (+100) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
- Saquon Barkley has grinded out 76.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (97th percentile).
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding 4.90 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
