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Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D’Andre Swift from EV Insight

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D'Andre Swift

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 2

Eagles vs. Vikings

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-118/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-118) after it opened @ 33.5 (-113).

Pros

  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • D’Andre Swift’s rushing efficiency (5.40 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (92nd percentile among running backs).
Cons

  • The Philadelphia Eagles will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Eagles have been the 6th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.2% run rate.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for Derek Carr from EV Insight Next Week 2 Player Props: Passing Yards for C.J. Stroud from EV Insight