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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 BMW Championship
This week’s hot takes will once again feature our birdie rate over expectation metric, as it proved to be quite the cheat code last week. I cashed easily with Rory and Cam Davis as the only two guys who played well because everyone I used outperformed their real life performance in DraftKings points.   PGA DFS […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA Bets
2023 BMW Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour moves from Memphis to Chicago this week for the second event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.    There are just 50 golfers left standing, so we can dive into the entire field rather easily. Finding a fit for the course is always the starting point of my betting process, so let’s check […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Insert “Jim Mora playoffs” gif. Playoffs?? Hell yes! As unenthused as I typically am by no-cut events, we at least have the tools (like our birdie rate over expectation) to use it to our advantage.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
The playoffs start this week with a limited-field event taking place at TPC Southwind.  There are just 70 golfers pegging it this week in Memphis and no-cut events always lead to more gamers gravitating to a stars-and-scrubs approach for DFS roster construction.    It’s certainly tempting to take those salary savings at the bottom when […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. This […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
For the second consecutive week, I only have one outright bet (so far). Surprise, surprise — it’s Keegan! Again! Golf outrights are unlike anything else in betting. In no other sport do we consistently and exclusively look at bets that are 10-1 at best and more often than not closer to 100-1.    One consequence […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship Betting Preview
TPC Southwind will host the opening event for the 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs.  We have a lot of history to lean on here, but there are plenty of fresh faces seeing the course for the first time. That is where course fit comes into play and becomes so important. Let’s lead with that.    Course […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Playoffs?? Hell yeah, we’re talking about playoffs. Do I wish there was a traditional cut this week? You bet, but we’ve got a great field at a great golf course, and a course-fit model that’s just as strong.   A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Playoffs?? Hell yeah, we’re talking about playoffs. Do I wish there was a traditional cut this week? You bet, but we’ve got a great field at a great golf course, and a course-fit model that’s just as strong.   A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
One of my favorite yearly mini-Tour stops was at Sedgefield CC — the Dye course, not this one. The one for this week’s Wyndham Championship is a Donald Ross course (not a bad place, this Sedgefield CC). Does this week make me a bit nostalgic for the summers I spent on the road from one […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them.    […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
The Wyndham Championship is the last event of the PGA Tour’s 2023 regular season. The FedEx Cup Playoffs begin next week in Memphis, which means three weeks of no-cut, small-field events. Enough looking ahead though, let’s go out with bang at the Wyndham.  Sedgefield Country Club is the host venue this week, and it’s a […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 Wyndham Championship
Sedgefield Country Club is a favorite tour stop for many of the guys in the field for the PGA Tour’s Wyndham Championship this week. As someone who has played its sister course in a handful of mini tour events, I can see why. There’s lots of other reason for excitement, though.   From my Course Fit […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
2023 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview
The Wyndham Championship is the final event of the PGA Tour’s regular season. There is still plenty of golf on the horizon, but this is the last chance for golfers to earn their spot in the playoffs. Narratives always start flying at this event, but we should stick to the basics, which is baseline performance […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Wyndham Championship
I’m pumped for this week, and it has nothing to do with the course, or event, itself.    Instead, it’s because we now have multiple measures of volatility, round-to-round and event-to-event. Let’s use Tony Finau and Cam Young as the example from last week: Cam is more volatile from one round to the next, but […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Wyndham Championship
I’m pumped for this week, and it has nothing to do with the course, or event, itself.    Instead, it’s because we now have multiple measures of volatility, round-to-round and event-to-event. Let’s use Tony Finau and Cam Young as the example from last week: Cam is more volatile from one round to the next, but […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 3M Open
The majors may be over for the PGA season, but there is still plenty of high-leverage golf to be played. With the FedEx Cup bubble moved from 120 down to 70 this year, a lot of golfers are now fighting for their spot in the playoffs, and some are fighting for their playing status.  That […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 3M Open
After a rough Open, this is a perfect place to get back in the winner’s circle. I’m a huge fan of the course for this week’s 3M Open on the PGA Tour, and it sets up well for us.   PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 3M Open
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them.    […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA Bets
2023 3M Open Betting Preview
The 3M Open doesn’t receive a lot of fanfare, but it’s one of my favorite events on the PGA schedule. I lived in the area for six years and have walked the course a few times. It’s always more fun to watch and handicap an event when you’ve been on the grounds.  Let’s jump right […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 3M Open
From a Major Championship to an annual PGA Tour stop. The last time we returned to a familiar course post-Major Championship, we hit the Keegan Bradley 100-1 outright. More of the same this week? Zoom out for a second. It’s Monday Night Football in October and you just hit your second 10-1 “first touchdown” bet […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2023 3M Open
The last time we returned to a known PGA course following a Major? Keegan Bradley’s win at the Travelers! This week, we once again return from the uncertainty of an unknown Major Championship golf course to a course we know well — TPC Twin Cities. Spoiler alert — I’m a big fan of this week’s […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2023 3M Open
The last time we returned to a known PGA course following a Major? Keegan Bradley’s win at the Travelers! This week, we once again return from the uncertainty of an unknown Major Championship golf course to a course we know well — TPC Twin Cities. Spoiler alert — I’m a big fan of this week’s […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Open Championship
At long last, we’ve reached the final major of the PGA season. There’s nothing more magical than having golf on TV through the darkest and calmest hours of the night, quietly watching your favorite players battle the elements from the comfort of your own bed. In most ways, it’s a once-a-year, nothing-else-like-it kind of week. […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Open Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. At […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Open Championship
The final major of the 2023 PGA campaign will take place this week at Royal Liverpool, also known as Hoylake.  This Open Championship is known for weather draws, so we will touch on that in the notes section. We will also take a look at the salary changes made by DraftKings for the event.    […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Outrights: 2023 Open Championship
Collin Morikawa in 2021, Cam Smith last year. Can we make it three consecutive outrights at The Open Championship?? Zoom out for a second. It’s Monday Night Football in October and you just hit your second 10-1 “first touchdown” bet of the season. You’re ecstatic! This is what makes golf outright betting so unique — […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
2023 Open Championship Betting Preview
The Open Championship is known for its iconic courses and wacky weather.  When setting up the golf courses for The Open, the R&A does not artificially toughen the tracks, like we see with some of the other majors. Instead, they let Mother Nature dictate whether it will be a 3-under winner or a 20-under winner. […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Open Championship
The final Major Championship of the year! The Open has always been a favorite of mine because of the unique experience of watching golf throughout the early hours of the night/morning, but Collin Morikawa’s win a few years ago took it to another level.    It was the first year I used the strategy of […]
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FTN Staff
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 Open Championship
The final Major Championship of the year! The Open has always been a favorite of mine because of the unique experience of watching golf throughout the early hours of the night/morning, but Collin Morikawa’s win a few years ago took it to another level.    It was the first year I used the strategy of […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open
What an exciting part of the PGA schedule. The Tour makes its fair share of questionable decisions, but strengthening this field and event was one of its best. Let’s make it as successful of a week as it is fun. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open
It’s a multi-event week around golf, with the Barbasol Championship taking place stateside while the feature event, the Scottish Open, takes place across the pond.  I’m going to focus on the main event here for DFS but will certainly share some thoughts on the Barbasol, as well. Check out Discord for that, but now let’s […]
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Josh Culp