Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
PGA Articles
PGA
Bets
2023 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview
The options in the PGA betting markets are wide, and while there are several ways to attack those markets, outright bets (or picks to win the tournament — outright) are going to be a large part of the key focus in this article. The theory is that outrights, being low-probability events, are harder for books […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
One. More. Week. Seven days from now we’ll be diving full steam ahead into the Masters, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. We have a chance to make it three great weeks in a row before we arrive at Augusta. Once again, new this season, this article will focus on both […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: Valero Texas Open
One. More. Week. Seven days from now we’ll be diving full steam ahead into the Masters, but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. We have a chance to make it three great weeks in a row before we arrive at Augusta. Once again, new this season, this article will focus on both […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: TPC San Antonio
While many of the stars are skipping this week’s Valero Texas Open (thanks designated events), there are still a handful of juicy names in the field looking to get one final prep for the Masters or play their way into the Masters via a win. Let’s dig into the course to see what it […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Murray Model: DFS plays for the 2023 Corales Puntacana Championship
My “Murray’s Model” series has been one of my favorites to do over the last few years here at FTN, as I have done this article for several different sports and in different forms. I got some nice feedback on the NBA version, so I am going to be bringing it back to the PGA […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Corales Puntacana Championship
Match play is off and running in the PGA this week, but there is still a stroke-play event for those wanting a true cut sweat. Something more familiar, with the Corales Puntacana Championnship. The field strength is weak, but there are still DFS dollars to be won, so let’s dive right in for this week’s […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Every week — like at this week’s WGC Dell Technologies Match Play — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
This week’s hot takes are powered by 10,000 simulations (shoutout to Frank Brank) of the bracket. The simulations use my expected strokes gained projections and our round-to-round standard deviation estimates to produce the probability that each player advances through group stage, reaches the Elite Eight, reaches the Final Four, reaches the final, and wins the […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
Bets
2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Betting Preview
The options in the PGA betting markets are wide, and while there are several ways to attack those markets, outright bets (or picks to win the tournament — outright) are going to be a large part of the key focus in this article. The theory is that outrights, being low probability events, are harder for […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
It’s match play week in the PGA, and with a different format, so we need to change our approach when building lineups. There is no cutline to worry about, but there are groups and regions. Golfers will play three matches in their opening group so getting all six of your golfers to advance out […]
Josh Culp
PGA
Bets
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Match play is a completely different beast than stroke play. On a weekly basis, each player is locked in a 1-on-1 matchup of man vs. course. This week only, it’s mano a mano. As it turns out, this distinction has huge ramifications when it comes to which skill sets translate into success. If you were […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Match play is a completely different beast than stroke play. On a weekly basis, each player is locked in a 1-on-1 matchup of man vs. course. This week only, it’s mano a mano. As it turns out, this distinction has huge ramifications when it comes to which skill sets translate into success. If you were […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: Austin CC
If your NCAA brackets are busted, then fear not, it’s time to fill out another bracket this week for the WGC-Match Play. This is the last planned edition of this event, at least for now, so enjoy it while you can. The host course is unique, opening the door for many upsets year after […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA PrizePicks for the 2023 Valspar Championship
PrizePicks offers a different way to play fantasy sports than simply building a lineup of different golfers on a salary. There are different categories of props and matchups, which are not often offered anywhere else. PrizePicks has birdie matchups, fairways hit, greens in regulation, score and occasionally scoring on set holes on the course. […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Valspar Championship
Every week — like at this week’s Players Championship— a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Valspar Championship
I must admit — it’s easier to identify hot takes in the non-elevated PGA Tour events. The elevated events have seen softer pricing, resulting in wildly underpriced players (like Keegan Bradley at the API or Jason Day last week). At the Valspar, we’re back to the standard for PGA DFS — all chalk is fragile […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Valspar Championship
The PGA Tour’s Florida swing rolls on for one more week as we ready for the Valspar at Innisbrook. Despite its spot on the schedule, this event does draw some notable names each year as it provides a tough scoring environment which many find valuable as decent prep for the Masters. The top of […]
Josh Culp
PGA
Bets
2023 Valspar Championship Betting Preview
The options in the PGA betting markets are wide, and while there are several ways to attack those markets, outright bets (or picks to win the tournament outright) are going to be a large part of the key focus in this article. The theory is that outrights, being low-probability events, are harder for books to […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2023 Valspar Championship
The elevated events have caused a massive difference in the past few months between the strongest fields and weakest fields around the PGA. This is the first week in quite some time that has star power, but little depth behind it. This talent gap could mitigate the importance of course fit, but that won’t stop […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2023 Valspar Championship
The elevated events have caused a massive difference in the past few months between the strongest fields and weakest fields around the PGA. This is the first week in quite some time that has star power, but little depth behind it. This talent gap could mitigate the importance of course fit, but that won’t stop […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: Copperhead Course
After a boom-or-bust week at TPC Sawgrass, we head to the Tampa Bay area for the Valspar. The event is hosted by the Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort. Known for the Snake Pit. This classical, tree-lined course doesn’t yield many big numbers, unlike last week at TPC Sawgrass. It also doesn’t yield many birdies […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Players Championship
The Players Championship is a high-leverage event with high-leverage shots. Trouble surrounds every corner, but so do scoring opportunities. It makes for a wonderfully entertaining event, hopefully with yet another stacked leaderboard. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Murray Model: DFS plays for the 2023 Players Championship
My “Murray’s Model” series has been one of my favorites to do over the last few years here at FTN, as I have done this article for several different sports and in different forms. I got some nice feedback on the NBA version, so I am going to be bringing it back to the PGA […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Players Championship
Every week — like at this week’s Players Championship— a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The golfer who […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Players Championship
After a windy week at Bay Hill, we head to PGA Tour HQ for the fifth major this week, The Players Championship. Staying in Florida, we’re not escaping the weather just yet. As we saw last week, even with an open-shut case of wave advantage there was only 0.71 stroke differential between the two […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA PrizePicks for the 2023 Players Championship
PrizePicks offers a different way to play fantasy sports than simply building a lineup of different golfers on a salary. There are different categories of props and matchups, which are not often offered anywhere else. PrizePicks has birdie matchups, fairways hit, greens in regulation, score and occasionally scoring on set holes on the course. […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
Bets
2023 PGA Players Championship Betting Preview
The options in the PGA betting markets are wide, and while there are several ways to attack those markets, outright bets (or picks to win the tournament outright) are going to be a large part of the key focus in this article. The theory is that outrights, being low-probability events, are harder for books to […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2023 Players Championship
For the first time in several weeks, we’re coming off a strong PGA event. Congratulations to our very own Jeff Lowe (Rotomania in Discord) for grabbing two seats in the DraftKings World Golf Championship later this year. Let’s hope for more of the same this week with one of my favorite tournaments of the year […]
FTN Staff
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2023 Players Championship
For the first time in several weeks, we’re coming off a strong PGA event. Congratulations to our very own Jeff Lowe (Rotomania in Discord) for grabbing two seats in the DraftKings World Golf Championship later this year. Let’s hope for more of the same this week with one of my favorite tournaments of the year […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
Course Notes and Quotes: TPC Sawgrass
It’s time for the fifth major as we ready for this week’s PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. As the PGA TOUR’s flagship event, it makes perfect sense they emphasis the event with capital letters, as they love to do. One of the strongest fields of the year from top to bottom, combined with water […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational
Every week — like at this week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational — a crucial part of success in PGA DFS GPPs will be hitting on lower-rostered/lower-salary golfers. Golf is a unique DFS sport in that all the golfers have the same opportunity to score. There are no starters, bench players, role players, third-down backs, etc. The […]
Kyle Murray
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational
It’s another big PGA event this week, with Arnie’s Invite having designated status, which means another huge purse just like Kapalua, Phoenix and Riv. The first thing that stands out about this week is the weather. Let’s have a peek at the wind forecast: Friday looks brutal. It won’t be a cakewalk in the […]
Josh Culp