Recent Signings Have Fantasy Football ADP Going Wild

Summer is moving along, and we are starting to see more reports from NFL beat writers and clips from OTAs as June progresses. This is the time of year when ADP swings wildly, as players move up and down the boards thanks to an impressive clip or a positive (or negative) report.

There have been some big movers in ADP since June, especially since some big veteran names have found new homes for 2025. As always, the ADP from this article comes from Underdog Fantasy, a best ball platform that has been running drafts since May.

Who are the biggest risers and fallers in fantasy since June 1? Read below to find out.

Fantasy Football ADP Rumblings (6/12)

Biggest Riser

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers

ADP: 187.4, QB28 (-24.4 spots)

It has long been assumed that Aaron Rodgers would join the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2025. However, fantasy managers were wary of drafting him late in drafts due to the ever-present threat that he could just retire instead of joining a new team.

Rodgers finally put pen to paper and will be a Steeler in 2025, meaning his ADP has skyrocketed since June 1.

The veteran quarterback is coming off two years of mixed results with the New York Jets. In 2023, he played just four snaps before suffering an Achilles injury. He was able to return in Week 1, but the production (63% completion rate for 3,897 yards and 28 touchdowns with 11 interceptions) wasn’t enough to get the Jets over the hump.

The results weren’t exactly great for fantasy managers either. Rodgers finished as the QB22 in points per game (15.7) and mustered just three top-10 quarterback finishes.

In Pittsburgh, Rodgers will have a slightly better group of pass catchers than he had with the Jets in DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth but will likely see less pass volume in Arthur Smith’s offense. Rodgers has no issue being efficient, so that should have a minor impact in the grand scheme of things.

Rodgers’s ADP has climbed over two rounds in the past two weeks now that he has a landing spot, but he is still going as the QB28. Rodgers is a good ripcord option at quarterback in best ball drafts for a late QB2 or QB3 and will continue to be a value as he climbs into the mid-20s.

For redraft, Rodgers is a player you can safely leave on the waiver wire until he shows some semblance of high-level fantasy play.

Biggest Faller

Anthony Richardson Sr., QB, Indianapolis Colts

ADP: 197.0, QB29 (+23.8)

Fantasy managers were already skeptical of Anthony Richardson Sr. in 2025 after he failed to take a significant developmental step in 2024. Richardson played just 11 games in his second season but regressed as a passer (47.7% completion rate with 1,814 yards and eight touchdowns with 12 interceptions). Still, he was floating around the QB22 range thanks to his massive rushing ability (111 carries for 635 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games) and the hope that he could beat out Daniel Jones for the starting job.

Unfortunately, Richardson was shut down due to an aggravation to the AC joint injury that limited him to just four games as a rookie. The coaching staff has come out and said he won’t get surgery this time around, but it is still another significant injury for a player who has never shown he can stay healthy in the NFL.

At best, Richardson may be back at some point in training camp. However, he desperately needed repetitions to improve and show that he could run the Colts offense better than Jones. Now that that option is seemingly off the table, it is impossible to trust him in 2025.

Richardson has dropped down to the QB29 in fantasy (and fallen nearly two rounds) since the shoulder injury was reported. While that price doesn’t come close to recognizing his ceiling as a rushing quarterback, it is also fair given his consistent issues with health at the NFL level.

He’s a do-not draft in redraft formats going forward, but does have appeal in 3QB best ball builds as a pure upside play that could make starts towards the end of the season so the Colts can decide if it is time to move on in 2026.

Risers

J.K. Dobbins, RB, Denver Broncos

ADP: 173.0, RB53 (+17.3)

Another veteran who found a home in June is running back J.K. Dobbins, who signed a one-year deal with the Denver Broncos. Injuries marred Dobbins’ early career, but he showed in 2024 what he can do when he’s mostly healthy.

Dobbins operated as the lead back with the Chargers in 2024, racking up 195 carries for 905 yards and nine rushing touchdowns while adding 32 receptions for 153 yards. He was, however, limited to just 13 games played.

He now joins a crowded backfield in Denver consisting of Audric Estime, Jaleel McLaughlin and 2025 second-round pick RJ Harvey. This move mostly impacts Estime and McLaughlin, but it does introduce a world where Harvey loses touches to a competent running back instead of replacement-level options in 2025.

J.K. Dobbins showed that he can still handle a partial workload when healthy in 2024. As long as his price remains reasonable (his current RB53 price tag is more than reasonable), he is worth taking shots on behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.

Nick Chubb, RB, Houston Texans

ADP: 194.2, RB59 (- 16.7)

Like Dobbins, Nick Chubb will find himself in a new home in 2025 after navigating his way through a brutal injury history in 2024. Chubb played in just eight games with the Browns last season after working through a multi-ligament tear suffered in 2023, handling just 102 carries for 332 yards and three touchdowns before a broken foot shut him down the final three games of the season.

Unfortunately, we never got to truly see Chubb ramp up to full steam last season, so it is impossible to know how much he has left in the tank. Chubb had just two games with a snap share above 37% and 16-plus carries. He also failed to exceed 60 all-purpose yards in any of his eight games.

Chubb won’t be the lead back in Houston, but he is a significant upgrade to the team’s depth running backs behind Joe Mixon. Mixon had a successful first season in Houston (281 touches for 1,325 yards and 12 touchdowns) but played in just 14 games.

This backfield will still be dominated by Mixon, but Chubb can siphon off carries on early downs and be a pest in goal-line situations in 2025. His price tag (RB59) is perfect for a player with a weekly touchdown upside.

Daniel Jones, QB, Indianapolis Colts

ADP: 199.8, QB30 (-13.7)

The Anthony Richardson Sr. news had a direct impact on Daniel Jones, who now is the favorite to start for the Colts in 2025. While that isn’t exactly a win for fantasy managers, it does give clarity to an ambiguous quarterback room and gives us access to another late-round starter.

In 2022, Jones showed enough promise under Brian Daboll (67.2% completion rate for 3,205 yards and 15 touchdowns with five interceptions plus 708 rushing yards and seven touchdowns) that he warranted a longer look.

Since then, he’s suffered a torn ACL (2023) and regressed to his previous production (64.7% completion percentage for 2,979 yards and 10 touchdowns with 13 interceptions in 16 games). Jones was cut from the Giants in 2024 and found a home as a backup with the Vikings.

He is once again poised to start in 2025 on an offense that features an above-average offensive line (which is magnitudes better than any group he had with the Giants) and intriguing pass catchers in Michael Pittman Jr., Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, Adonai Mitchell and 2025 first-round tight end Tyler Warren Indianapolis can also take pressure off Jones by leaning on a run game headlined by Jonathan Taylor.

Is Jones good? Probably not. But can he provide a solid rushing floor and get the ball to playmakers in a very carefully curated offense? Probably.

Jones’ price tag is very reasonable as the QB30 and will continue to be until he reaches the QB25 range. He’s an afterthought in 1QB redraft leagues but does have some late-round appeal in superflex formats in 2025.

Dyami Brown, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

ADP: 189.4, WR78 (-9.1)

The biggest riser among wide receivers since June 1 is the Jaguars’ free-agent acquisition Dyami Brown. A lot of his ADP inflation can be tied to positive training camp reports from head coach Liam Coen praising his ability to make plays and versatility as a route runner.

Brown was an afterthought during his first three seasons with the Commanders (29 receptions for 476 yards and three touchdowns) before getting a chance at an expanded role in 2024. On the surface, his season was unremarkable (30 receptions on 40 targets for 308 yards and a touchdown), but the box score doesn’t tell the whole story.

The North Carolina product was stellar during the Commanders’ surprise playoff run, catching 14 of 18 targets for 229 yards and a touchdown while operating as a big play threat for Washington.

The Jaguars have their alpha receiver (Brian Thomas Jr.) and an intriguing rookie, Travis Hunter, who will be playing both ways in 2025. Brown will be a fixture in three-receiver sets and could have a bigger role than we anticipate if Hunter is pulled to the defensive side of the ball for more plays.

He’s an excellent upside swing at a discount late in drafts on an offense that many are optimistic about in 2025.

Fallers

Devin Neal, RB, New Orleans Saints

ADP: 208.1, RB63 (+7.7)

Devin Neal was a faller during the NFL draft, lasting until the sixth round after many believed he could go in the fourth round. Now that we are in OTAs, he’s a faller once again.

Neal hasn’t necessarily done anything wrong since joining the team, but head coach Kellen Moore has made it clear that veteran backup running back Kendre Miller has a clean slate with the new coaching staff. That, combined with a subpar video of Neal going through footwork drills, has certainly caused his ADP to dip since June 1.

Miller has never been able to stay healthy long since being drafted, so Neal’s fall down the boards may not even last the summer. It is important to remember that the former Kansas Jayhawk posted two straight seasons at Kansas with over 1,400 all-purpose yards and 17 touchdowns.

If you believed that Neal could take over as the RB2 in New Orleans, there hasn’t been much to shake that belief. However, he will have a hard road to travel as long as Kendre Miller can stay on the field.

Woody Marks, RB, Houston Texans

ADP: 213.6, RB69 (+7.2)

Rookie Woody Marks was starting to get some positive momentum as a backup running back in Houston in the early summer. That hope came crashing down once Nick Chubb signed on as a backup to Joe Mixon.

Marks’ path to playing time now got even more complicated with two competent veterans ahead of him on the depth chart. The Texans can easily split their starting running back reps between Chubb in short-yardage and Mixon on passing plays, minimizing Marks’s ability to make a meaningful impact earlier in his career.

Both Mixon and Chubb have long injury histories, which does leave the door open a crack for Marks in 2025. However, he’s more of a dynasty stash than a viable 2025 player now that his road to playing time has been blocked for at least one season.

Jonnu Smith, TE, Miami Dolphins

ADP: 107.4, TE7 (+6.8)

Jonnu Smith’s name has been in the news plenty as a trade candidate with the Steelers seemingly interested in landing the veteran tight end. That move makes sense for Miami (cap relief) and the Steelers (familiarity between Jonnu Smith and offensive coordinator Arthur Smith).

The lack of certainty hasn’t done Jonnu’s ADP any favors since the start of June, with him falling 6.8 picks.

Smith surprisingly finished as the TE5 in PPR scoring last season (13.1 PPG) thanks to his most productive season in the NFL. The veteran tight end posted career highs in targets (111), receptions (88) and receiving yards (884) while tying a career-best eight touchdown receptions.

Fantasy managers responded accordingly, drafting Smith as the TE6 in early drafts. That was probably a slight overreaction since Smith’s career season came when he was 29 years old in an offense that was hamstrung by injuries at quarterback.

Smith is a good player and will have fantasy-viable weeks. On the surface though, his price exceeds his value in fantasy drafts whether he is a Dolphin or Steeler in 2025.

Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons

ADP: 153.7, TE18 (+6.5)

Another tight end who has been falling in fantasy drafts is Atlanta’s Kyle Pitts Pitts has perennially disappointed fantasy managers since his rookie season, leading him to fall to TE18 in early fantasy drafts. The veteran tight end disappointed once again in 2024, finishing as the TE21 (7.7 PPG) with just five top-10 scoring weeks.

Pitts has yet to make an appearance at OTAs for the Falcons this offseason due to a foot injury. However, there is also trade speculation since the veteran is entering the final year of his contract. Those issues are likely the driving force behind his fall in ADP.

In previous seasons, Pitts was taken as a top-five tight end based on his potential. Those days are likely gone while he remains in Atlanta. However, he isn’t a terrible selection in best ball drafts at his dramatically reduced TE18 price.

Fantasy managers in redraft leagues are safe letting somebody else take the shot on his potential or monitoring his progress on the waiver wire to start the year.