Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Raheem MostertRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Right now, Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-110) after it opened @ 55.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast Raheem Mostert to garner 13.1 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
- Out of all running backs, Raheem Mostert grades out in the 87th percentile for carries this year, making up 54.7% of the workload in his offense’s ground game.
- The Miami offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year in run support.
- Raheem Mostert’s 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season signifies a noteable growth in his rushing proficiency over last season’s 54.0 figure.
- The Chiefs defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.46 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 4th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards
61
Rushing Yards
