Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 85.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-120).

Pros

The model projects the Giants to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
In this game, Saquon Barkley is predicted by the projections to rank in the 96th percentile among RBs with 17.4 rush attempts.
Saquon Barkley has grinded out 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (96th percentile).
This year, the deficient Raiders run defense has conceded a whopping 148.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Giants to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
The New York offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.
When it comes to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Las Vegas’s DE corps has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards