Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kareem Hunt from EV Insight

Kareem HuntRushing Yards

Right now, Kareem Hunt’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

This game’s spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Browns, who are heavily favored by 13.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 51.6% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.1 plays per game.
Kareem Hunt’s 28.4% Snap% this year illustrates a significant regression in his offensive utilization over last year’s 40.1% rate.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
45
Rushing Yards