Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-119/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 36.5 (-119) after it opened @ 32.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 12.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
James Conner has garnered 45.2% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the league (145 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Cons

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in run blocking.
James Conner has run for quite a few less yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Rushing Yards