NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Devin SingletaryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Texans vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Devin Singletary’s rushing yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 49.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Houston Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to run on 44.2% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Devin Singletary to accumulate 15.8 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
- While Devin Singletary has received 22.9% of his offense’s run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Houston’s run game in this week’s contest at 54.2%.
Cons
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
- The Houston Texans O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
- Devin Singletary’s 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his running skills over last season’s 54.0 rate.
- Devin Singletary’s 3.9 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a significant diminishment in his running proficiency over last year’s 4.8 figure.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
