Week 9 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Dameon Pierce from EV Insight

Dameon PierceRushing Yards

Right now, Dameon Pierce’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-115) after it opened @ 61.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dameon Pierce to earn 17.7 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Dameon Pierce has received 82.1% of his offense’s carries this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Dameon Pierce has grinded out 77.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (93rd percentile).
Dameon Pierce has been among the best running backs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 3.80 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

Cons

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 30.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
82
Rushing Yards