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Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan’Dale Robinson from EV Insight

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Wan'Dale Robinson

Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 9

Raiders vs. Giants

Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-110) after it opened @ 29.5 (-110).

Pros

  • The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Wan’Dale Robinson’s 82.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 77.9% mark.
  • This year, the feeble Raiders pass defense has been torched for a whopping 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.
Cons

  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.4 per game) this year.
  • Wan’Dale Robinson has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Wan’Dale Robinson has been utilized much less in his team’s pass attack.

Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards

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