Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan'Dale Robinson from EV Insight

Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-110) after it opened @ 29.5 (-110).

Pros

The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
Wan’Dale Robinson’s 82.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 77.9% mark.
This year, the feeble Raiders pass defense has been torched for a whopping 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.

Cons

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Giants to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.4 per game) this year.
Wan’Dale Robinson has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Wan’Dale Robinson has been utilized much less in his team’s pass attack.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards