NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Raiders vs. Giants
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-110) after it opened @ 29.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s 82.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 77.9% mark.
- This year, the feeble Raiders pass defense has been torched for a whopping 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.03 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the league.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- The predictive model expects the Giants to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.4 per game) this year.
- Wan’Dale Robinson has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (30.0 per game).
- With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Wan’Dale Robinson has been utilized much less in his team’s pass attack.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
