NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Raiders vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 16.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 16.5 (-120) after it opened @ 17.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
- Our trusted projections expect Daniel Bellinger to total 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
- While Daniel Bellinger has earned 2.3% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of New York’s passing offense in this contest at 13.2%.
- This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed a massive 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- The predictive model expects the Giants to call the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.4 per game) this year.
- Daniel Bellinger has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (1.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).
- Daniel Bellinger’s 4.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season illustrates a material decline in his receiving talent over last season’s 27.0 rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
