Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tee Higgins from EV Insight

Tee HigginsReceiving Yards

Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 9.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Tee Higgins has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 66.0 yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Cons

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 7.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards