Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tee HigginsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Bengals vs. Panthers
Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 62.2 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accumulate 9.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
- Tee Higgins has been among the best WRs in the league this year, averaging a stellar 66.0 yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Cons
- The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Tee Higgins has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
- The Carolina Panthers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, allowing 7.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.
- The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Receiving Yards
81
Receiving Yards
