Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 3rd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.09 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 7.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

Cons

Gerald Everett’s ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 63.2%.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box versus opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards