Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Steelers vs. Titans
Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-145/+106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-145) after it opened @ 57.5 (-117).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
- The model projects Diontae Johnson to total 8.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
- In regards to air yards, Diontae Johnson grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing a colossal 92.0 per game.
- With an exceptional 58.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Diontae Johnson rates among the top wide receivers in the league in the league.
- The Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (188.0) versus wide receivers this year.
Cons
- This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
- Diontae Johnson has been used less as a potential target this season (74.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (96.2%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Receiving Yards
60
Receiving Yards
