Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 82.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 11.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a much bigger part of his offense’s passing attack this week (31.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (25.0% in games he has played).

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
DeAndre Hopkins’s skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 1.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.43 mark last season.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 130.0) versus wide receivers this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (63%) vs. wideouts this year (63.0%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
98
Receiving Yards