Week 9 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-140/+105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-140) after it opened @ 48.5 (-120).

Pros

The Titans feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The leading projections forecast DeAndre Hopkins to accrue 7.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, DeAndre Hopkins grades out in the towering 95th percentile among wideouts this year, accruing a superb 108.0 per game.
This year, the feeble Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a monstrous 182.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Cons

The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Titans offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.73 seconds per play.
DeAndre Hopkins has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62%) versus WRs this year (62.0%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards