Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kyler Murray from EV Insight

Kyler MurrayPassing Yards

Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 251.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kyler Murray has attempted 42.6 throws per game this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among QBs.
Kyler Murray has been among the top QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 256.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Kyler Murray’s passing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 64.7%.
Kyler Murray’s throwing effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 6.30 yards-per-target compared to a 7.61 rate last year.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards