Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 262.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 262.5 (-110) after it opened @ 251.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 66.0 plays per game.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Kyler Murray has attempted 42.6 throws per game this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among QBs.
- Kyler Murray has been among the top QBs in football this year, averaging a terrific 256.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- Kyler Murray’s passing precision has worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 64.7%.
- Kyler Murray’s throwing effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 6.30 yards-per-target compared to a 7.61 rate last year.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
278
Passing Yards
278
Passing Yards
