Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 217.5 (-110) after it opened @ 212.5 (-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
This year, the weak Titans defense has given up a whopping 76.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-largest rate in the NFL.
This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.44 yards.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Tennessee’s unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

Cons

This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Kenny Pickett is positioned as one of the worst passers in the NFL this year, averaging 182.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.
Kenny Pickett’s 60.4% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant reduction in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 64.9% mark.
Kenny Pickett grades out as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 6.39 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 23rd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards