Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenny PickettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Steelers vs. Titans
Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 217.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 217.5 (-110) after it opened @ 212.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
- This year, the weak Titans defense has given up a whopping 76.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-largest rate in the NFL.
- This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans defense has been gouged for the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.44 yards.
- As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Tennessee’s unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.
Cons
- This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
- Kenny Pickett is positioned as one of the worst passers in the NFL this year, averaging 182.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.
- Kenny Pickett’s 60.4% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a significant reduction in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 64.9% mark.
- Kenny Pickett grades out as one of the least effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 6.39 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 23rd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards
226
Passing Yards
