Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight

Jalen HurtsPassing Yards

Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 233.5 (-110) after it opened @ 238.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Jalen Hurts has passed for many more yards per game (241.0) this season than he did last season (194.0).

Cons

The Eagles are an enormous 13.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 30.7 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in football.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the NFL against the Houston Texans defense this year (65.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
243
Passing Yards