NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jalen HurtsPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Eagles vs. Cowboys
Right now, Jalen Hurts’s passing yards prop is set at 255.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 255.5 (-125) after it opened @ 244.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Eagles feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
- Jalen Hurts has attempted 37.4 throws per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among quarterbacks.
- In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
- Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the top passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 257.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.
Cons
- A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week’s game.
- At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Eagles.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in football.
- Opposing offenses have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 196.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
- This year, the daunting Cowboys defense has allowed a meager 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
244
Passing Yards
244
Passing Yards
