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Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight

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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 8

Jets vs. Patriots

Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 62.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 17.0 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a much bigger part of his offense’s run game this season (54.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (34.9%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for quite a few more yards per game (67.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Jets defense owns the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
  • The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Melvin Gordon from EV Insight Next Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Dameon Pierce from EV Insight
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